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Wednesday, January 30, 2008

Bracket #5

1 Seeds: Kansas, Memphis, Duke, North Carolina

2 Seeds: Tennessee, UCLA, Michigan State, Georgetown

3 Seeds: Texas, Xavier, Drake, Washington State

4 Seeds: Wisconsin, Indiana, Marquette, Arizona

5 Seeds: Connecticut, Kansas State, Mississippi, Butler

6 Seeds: St. Mary's, Stanford, West Virginia, Baylor

7 Seeds: Oklahoma, Vanderbilt, Pittsburgh, Southern California

8 Seeds: Gonzaga, Louisville, Mississippi State, Texas A&M

9 Seeds: Rhode Island, Ohio State, Florida, South Alabama

10 Seeds: Arkansas, Massachusetts, Clemson, Notre Dame

11 Seeds: Purdue, Miami FL, Nevada Las Vegas, Kent State

12 Seeds: George Mason, Dayton, Illinois State, Syracuse

13 Seeds: Duquesne, Davidson, Winthrop, Cal State Northridge

14 Seeds: Maryland Baltimore County, Siena, Stephen F. Austin, Oral Roberts

15 Seeds: Brown, Northern Arizona, Nevada, Lafayette

16 Seeds: Wagner, East Tennessee State, Hampton, Austin Peay, Alabama State


Multiple Bid Conferences:
Big East (8)
Big 12 (6)
SEC (6)
Big 10 (5)
Pac-10 (5)
A-10 (5)
ACC (4)
WCC (2)
MVC (2)

Last 4 In:
Dayton
Illinois State
Syracuse
Duquesne

Last 4 Out:
Brigham Young
Seton Hall
Oregon
Saint Joesph's

Next 4 Out:
Ohio
Arizona State
Creighton
Wake Forest

BOLD = Play In Game

Sunday, January 27, 2008

Bracket #4

1 Seeds: Memphis, Kansas, Duke, North Carolina

2 Seeds: Tennessee, UCLA, Michigan State, Texas

3 Seeds: Georgetown, Washington State, Drake, Xavier

4 Seeds: Indiana, St. Mary's, Marquette, Baylor

5 Seeds: Mississippi, Arizona, Stanford, Wisconsin

6 Seeds: Connecticut, West Virginia, Kansas State, Butler

7 Seeds: Vanderbilt, Southern California, Oklahoma, Texas A&M

8 Seeds: Pittsburgh, Notre Dame, Mississippi State, Rhode Island

9 Seeds: Gonzaga, Clemson, Ohio State, Louisville

10 Seeds: Massachusetts, South Alabama, Miami FL, Arkansas

11 Seeds: Syracuse, Kent State, Dayton, Florida

12 Seeds: Nevada Las Vegas, Illinois State, George Mason, Brigham Young

13 Seeds: Duquesne, North Carolina-Ashville, Davidson, Cal State Northridge

14 Seeds: Nevada, Siena, Maryland Baltimore County, Oral Roberts

15 Seeds: Sam Houston State, Hampton, Brown, Lafayette

16 Seeds: Sacred Heart, Northern Arizona, East Tennessee State, Austin Peay, Alabama State

Multiple Bid Conferences:
Big East (8)
SEC (6)
Big 12 (6)
Pac-10 (6)
A-10 (5)
ACC (4)
Big 10 (4)
MVC (2)
MWC (2)
WCC (2)

Last 4 In:
Florida
Illinois State
Brigham Young
Duquesne

Last 4 out:
Arizona State
Providence
Creighton
St. Joesph's

Next 4 Out:
Villanova
Oregon
Virginia Commonwealth
Ohio


Bold = Play In Game

Saturday, January 26, 2008

Conference Breakdown: Big 12 (1/26/08)

The Big 12 has 12 teams as the name implies, and is one of the top five college basketball conferences is the country. Top teams and sleeper picks reside in this conference. There are eight teams that have a legitimate shot at making the big dance come March and 5-6 that will actually make it. Like the Big East there are no easy conference games because as of now no one is below .500 overall. Here are the current Big XII standings:

Team Conference Record...Overall

1. Kansas 4-0...19-0

2. Baylor 4-0...16-2

3. Kansas State 3-0...13-4

4. Texas 2-1...15-3

5. Iowa State 2-2...2-7

6. Texas Tech 2-2...11-7

7. Oklahoma 1-2...13-5

8. Texas A&M 1-3...15-4

9. Missouri 1-3...11-8

10. Oklahoma State 1-3...10-8

11. Colorado 1-3...9-9

12. Nebraska 0-3...11-5

Kansas and Baylor are both 4-0 this conference season and are 2 of the top 3 teams in the conference. Baylor has been a suprise however they look as strong as ever after the thrilling 5OT win @ Texas A&M. As of now no teams are completely out of the race but Nebraska is not helping their cause with three conference losses and no wins, and Colorado looks like the weakest team in the conference. Here is a look at my projected conference standings:

1. Kansas 14-2
2. Texas 12-4
3. Baylor 12-4
4. Kansas State 11-5
5. Texas A&M 10-6
6. Oklahoma 8-8
7. Texas Tech 7-9
8. Missouri 6-10
9. Iowa State 5-11
10. Oklahoma State 5-11
11. Nebraska 4-12
12. Colorado 2-14

Kansas looks like the top team in the conference by a good amount as shown by their projected conference victory of two games. I also have them beating Texas in the conference finals and securing the auto-bid (not like they need it).

Friday, January 25, 2008

Bracket #3

1 Seeds: Memphis, Kansas, Duke, North Carolina

2 Seeds: Indiana, Tennessee, UCLA, Michigan State

3 Seeds: Georgetown, Wisconsin, Xavier, Texas

4 Seeds: Drake, Mississippi, Washington State, Pittsburgh

5 Seeds: Baylor, Arizona, St. Mary's, Marquette

6 Seeds: Stanford, Vanderbilt, West Virginia, Butler

7 Seeds: Kansas State, Clemson, Texas A&M, Dayton

8 Seeds: Southern California, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Gonzaga

9 Seeds: Ohio State, Florida, Louisville, Oklahoma

10 Seeds: Miami (Fl), Notre Dame, Massachusetts, Mississippi State

11 Seeds: Kent State, South Alabama, Syracuse, Arizona State

12 Seeds: Illinois State, Creighton, Villanova, George Mason

13 Seeds: Winthrop, Brigham Young, Davidson, Cal State Northridge

14 Seeds: Oral Roberts, Utah State, Sam Houston State, Maryland Baltimore County

15 Seeds: Marist, Hampton, Brown, Lafayette

16 Seeds: Northern Arizona, Austin Peay, Quinnipiac, East Tennessee State, Alabama State

Multiple Bid Conferences:
Big East (9)
Pac-10 (6)
Big 12 (6)
SEC (5)
Big 10 (4)
ACC (4)
A-10 (4)
MVC (3)
WCC (2)

Last 4 In:
Arizona State
Syracuse
Creighton
Illinois State

Last 4 Out:
Nevada Las Vegas
Arkansas
Oregon
Duquesne

Next 4 Out:
Providence
Cleveland State
Minnesota
Ohio

BOLD = Play-in Game

Thursday, January 24, 2008

Conference Breakdown: Big East (1/24/08)

The Big East has the most teams out of any conference in the country with 16 and will have about half of the 16 make the NCAA tournement with a few others on pace to make the NIT. Almost all of the Sixteen teams could plausibly make the big dance however the conference is tough with no real cupcakes (ask Villanova about Rutgers) and that could cause the conference to beat up on each other. The Current Standings:

Team Conference Record...Overall

1. Georgetown 5-1...15-2

2. Pittsburgh 4-2 ...16-3

3. West Virginia 4-2...15-4

4. Louisville 4-2...14-5

5. DePaul 4-2...9-9

6. Notre Dame 3-2...13-4

7. Providence 3-2...12-5

8. Connecticut 4-3...13-5

9. Cincinnati 4-3...9-10

10. Marquette 3-3...13-4

11. Villanova 3-3 ...13-4

12. Syracuse 3-4...13-7

13. Seton Hall 2-3...12-6

14. St. John's 1-5...7-10

15. USF 1-6...10-10

16. Rutgers 1-6...9-11

Right now the only teams that are really out of contention are the bottom 3, St. Johns, USF, and Rutgers but like I said they are not cupcakes. I expect the top 3 to be very close, with Georgetown, Pitt, and West Virginia. My current projected Standings:

1. Georgetown 14-4
2. Pittsburgh 13-5
3. West Virginia 13-5
4. Louisville 12-6
5. Marquette 11-7
6. Notre Dame 10-8
7. Connecticut 10-8
8. Syracuse 10-8
9. Providence 9-9
10. Villanova 9-9
11. Cincinnati 8-10
12. DePaul 8-10
13. Seton Hall 8-10
14. USF 4-14
15. St. Johns 3-15
16. Rutgers 2-16

As you can see besides the bottom 3 teams it is a very balenced high power conference. Right now I have Georgetown winning the Big East, and basically the top 13 teams have at least a small chance of making the big dance. Currently I would say that 1-5 are "locks" and 6-10 are "bubble" teams with 11-13 not making it as of now.

Conference Breakdown: Atlantic-10 (1/24/08)

The Atlantic 10, despite what the name implys, has 14 teams. There are 7 teams with a good chance at gaining an NCAA Tournement bid and right now it looks like the conference will get 4 bids. The current Standings are:



Team Conference Record...Overall


1. Charlotte 3-1...12-5

2. Saint Joseph's 3-1...11-5

3. Xavier 3-1...15-4


4. Dayton 2-1...14-2

5. Temple 2-1...9-8

6. Duquesne 2-2...12-5

7. Fordham 2-2...8-8

8. La Salle 2-2...7-10

9. Massachusetts 2-2...13-5

10. Rhode Island 2-2...16-3

11. Richmond 2-2...9-8

12. George Washington 1-3...5-9

13. Saint Louis 1-3...10-8

14.St. Bonaventure 0-4...6-12

Using current standings and future projections the 7 teams with a legitimate shot to make some noise and make the NCAA tournement are Xavier, Rhode Island, Dayton, Massachusetts, Duquesne, Saint Joesph's, and Charlotte. Here are my projected standings for the Atlantic 10 come regular season end:

1. Xavier 13-3
2. Dayton 12-4
3. Rhode Island 11-5
4. Massachusetts 10-6
5. Duquesne 10-6
6. St. Joesph's 10-6
7. Charlotte 9-7
8. Temple 8-8
9. Richmond 7-9
10. Fordham 6-10
11. St. Louis 5-11
12. George Washington 5-11
13. La Salle 4-12
14. St. Bonaventure 2-14

The Xavier Musketeers are the favorite to win the conference and Dayton is the closest competition they have (big face off between them tonight). Spots 3-7 could really be put in any order because those teams are very close in competition level. St. Bonnies is really bad, and a sleeper pick could be the Temple Owls (already beat Xavier).

Bracket #2

1 Seeds: Memphis, Kansas, Duke, North Carolina

2 Seeds: Indiana, Tennessee, UCLA, Michigan State

3 Seeds: Georgetown, Wisconsin, Washington State, Texas

4 Seeds: Drake, Mississippi, Xavier, Pittsburgh

5 Seeds: Baylor, Dayton, St. Mary's, Marquette

6 Seeds: Stanford, Vanderbilt, West Virginia, Butler

7 Seeds: Kansas State, Clemson, Texas A&M, Arizona

8 Seeds: Southern California, Arizona State, Rhode Island, Gonzaga

9 Seeds: Ohio State, Florida, Louisville, Connecticut

10 Seeds: Miami (Fl), Oklahoma, Notre Dame, Massachusetts

11 Seeds: Kent State, South Alabama, Mississippi State, Cleveland State

12 Seeds: Illinois State, Providence, Creighton, George Mason

13 Seeds: Winthrop, Brigham Young, Davidson, Cal State Northridge

14 Seeds: Oral Roberts, Siena, Stephen F. Austin, Maryland Baltimore County

15 Seeds: Utah State, Hampton, Brown, Lafayette

16 Seeds: Northern Arizona, Austin Peay, Quinnipiac, East Tennessee State, Alabama State

Multiple Bid Conferences:
Big East (8)
Pac-10 (6)
Big 12 (6)
SEC (5)
Big 10 (4)
ACC (4)
A-10 (4)
MVC (3)
WCC (2)
Horz (2)

Last 4 In:
Illinois State
Cleveland State
Providence
Creighton

Last 4 Out:
Syracuse
Arkansas
Duquesne
Oregon

Next 4 Out:
Minnesota
Nevada Las Vegas
New Mexico
San Diego State

BOLD = Play-in Game
Italics = Top team out/ bottom team in

Wednesday, January 23, 2008

Conference Breakdown: NEC (1/23/08)

The NEC or Northeast Conference consists of 11 teams including Robert Morris who recently upset Boston College. Right now there are multiple teams with a legitimate shot to win the conference, to start of here are the standings:

Conference Record...Overall Record

1. Quinnipiac 6-1...10-8

2. Wagner 5-1...12-5

3. Sacred Heart 6-2...9-10

4. Robert Morris 4-2...13-6

5. Central Conn. St. 5-3...9-10

6. Mount St. Mary's 4-3...8-10

7.Long Island 2-4...10-7

8. Monmouth 2-5...5-14

9. St. Francis (NY) 2-6...5-14

10. Fairleigh Dickinson 1-5...5-11

11. St. Francis (PA) 1-6...3-15

My Prediction to win the conference is the Quinnipiac University Bobcats because they are currently in 1st and have already beaten Long Island and Mount St. Marys, and their only conference loss was against Robert Morris, who I project to finish 2nd in the NEC. Others who have a good chance of coming out on top include Wagner, LIU, and Sacred Heart. Here is my projected standings:

1. Quinnipiac 14-4
2. Robert Morris 13-5
3. Wagner 13-5
4. Sacred Heart 11-7
5. Long Island 11-7
6. Central Connecticut St 10-8
7. Mount St Marys 10-8
8. Fairleigh Dickinson 5-13
9. St. Francis (NY) 5-13
10. Monmouth 4-14
11. St. Francis (PA) 3-15

I also have Quinnipiac beating Robert Morris in the NEC final to advance to the NCAA tournement.

Tuesday, January 22, 2008

Bracket #1

1 Seeds: Memphis, Kansas, Tennessee, Duke

2 Seeds: North Carolina, UCLA, Georgetown, Indiana

3 Seeds: Wisconsin, Michigan State, Washington State, Pittsburgh

4 Seeds: Texas, Dayton, Drake, Mississippi

5 Seeds: Xavier, Vanderbilt, St. Marys, Marquette

6 Seeds: Texas A&M , West Virginia, Stanford, Butler

7 Seeds: Baylor, Rhode Island, Arizona State, Massachusetts

8 Seeds: Gonzaga, Kansas State, Clemson, Miami (Fl)

9 Seeds: Arizona, Louisville, Florida, Southern California

10 Seeds: Oklahoma, Ohio State, South Alabama, Illinois State

11 Seeds: Villanova, Minnesota, Connecticut, Notre Dame

12 Seeds: Kent State , Providence, Nevada Las Vegas, Wake Forest

13 Seeds: Winthrop, Virginia Commonwealth, Davidson, Cal State Northridge

14 Seeds: Oral Roberts, Siena, Stephen F. Austin, Maryland Baltimore County

15 Seeds: Utah State, Hampton, Brown, Lafayette

16 Seeds: Northern Arizona, Austin Peay, Quinnipiac, East Tennessee State, Alabama State

Multiple Bid Conferences:
Big East (9)
Pac-10 (6)
Big 12 (6)
Big 10 (5)
ACC (5)
SEC (4)
A-10 (4)
WCC (2)
MVC (2)

Bracket posting Schedule

I hope to post brackets 2-4 times per week. I expect to do this every Sunday and have other updates periodically. I will also try to do break downs of some of the minor/mid-major conferences that are not analysed a lot. Hopefully this will be interesting for people to see, also if TheBracketProject/BracketMatrix sees this I would love to be added to the list of websites used to formulate the composite seedings.